2020 HPC Report Market Update.pdf

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2020 HPC Market Report Update November 2020 www.HyperionResearch.com www.hpcuserforum.com

The Hyperion Research Team Analysts Earl Joseph, CEO Operations Jean Sorensen, COO Steve Conway, Senior Advisor Global Accounts Bob Sorensen, SVP Research Rene Copeland, Strategic Mktg & Sales Advisor Mark Nossokoff, Senior Analyst Mike Thorp, Sr. Global Sales Executive Alex Norton, Principal Analyst & Data Manager Kurt Gantrish, Sr. Account Executive Melissa Riddle, Associate Analyst Data Collection International Consultants © Hyperion Research 2020 Cary Sudan, Market Data Group Katsuya Nishi, Japan and Asia Jie Wu, China & Technology Trends Michael Feldman, Europe & Strategic Trends Sue Sudan, Market Data Group Kirsten Chapman, KC Associates © Hyperion Research 2020 3

Hyperion Research HPC Activities (www.HyperionResearch.com & www.HPCUserForum.com) • Track all HPC servers sold each quarter worldwide and by 28 countries • 4 HPC User Forum meetings each year • Publish 85+ research reports each year • Visit all major supercomputer sites & write reports • Assist in collaborations between buyers and vendors • Assist governments in HPC plans & strategies • Maintain 5-year forecasts in many areas/topics • Track the ROI from HPC • AI, ML, DL & HPDA tracking • Track HPC cloud spending and usage • Future architectures and technologies • Quantum computing © Hyperion Research 2020 4

SC20 HPC Market Results, And New Forecasts www.HyperionResearch.com www.hpcuserforum.com November 2020 Earl Joseph

Covid-19's Impact on the HPC Market Major shipment delays Based on developments to date and discussions with HPC vendors around the globe, we believe several impacts are affecting the market: • Delayed product shipments. HPC vendors report that worker illnesses and related precautions reduced output and temporarily shut down some factories at HPC component suppliers, especially in Q1 2020 • Delayed revenues. Delayed product shipments have resulted in delayed revenues. However, most vendors expect customers to spend their annual HPC budgets once the covid-19 threat subsides © Hyperion Research 2020 7

Covid-19's Impact on the HPC Market Now forecasting a decline of ~14% for 2020 • Delayed orders. Vendors' inability to meet customers and prospects in person or to attend sales-supporting conferences and industry meetings have reduced the new business pipeline temporarily ▪ The lower end of the market is likely to have a number of difficult years (under $100K HPC servers) • Potential growth areas: ▪ New HPC demand to combat covid-19 ▪ Public cloud computing for HPC workloads may grow faster than previously predicted • The net for the first half of 2020 was a decline of 11.5% © Hyperion Research 2020 8

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