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LTE evolution for IoT connectivity Nokia white paper LTE evolution for IoT connectivity white paper
Contents 1. Executive summary 2. 3. IoT market landscape LPWA IoT requirements 4. LPWA IoT technology landscape 5. LTE evolution for cellular IoT 6. Conclusion 3 4 6 7 9 17 Page 2 www.nokia.com
1. Executive summary The Internet of Things (IoT) is the next revolution in the mobile ecosystem. IoT services are likely to be a key driver for further growth in cellular. An estimated 30 billion connected devices will be deployed by 2025 [Machina Research, May 2015], of which cellular IoT (i.e. 2G, 3G and 4G technologies used for IoT but not specifically optimized for IoT) and Low-Power Wide-Area (LPWA) modules are forecast to account for 7 billion units in 2025 [Machina Research, May 2015]. Cellular IoT is expected to provide numerous services, including utility meters, vending machines, automotive (fleet management, smart traffic, real time traffic information to the vehicle, security monitoring and reporting), medical metering and alerting. Already, devices such as e-book readers, GPS navigation aids and digital cameras are connected to the internet. The key requirements for cellular IoT to enable these services and be competitive are: • Long battery life • Low device cost • Low deployment cost • Extended coverage • Support for a massive number of devices. This white paper outlines a cellular IoT solution based on LTE that meets these requirements and enhances the radio and core networks. The radio network needs to work with simple, low cost devices. The transmission and higher layer protocols need to help devices consume less power, with the aim of achieving a battery life of over ten years. Finally, extended coverage is required for deep indoor and rural areas. Network elements need to handle charging, subscription and massive support for small packages. Today, LTE supports IoT with so-called Cat.1 devices, while LTE-Advanced extends device battery life to ten years with a power saving mode. LTE-Advanced Pro further optimizes coverage, device battery life and costs, as well as capacity for a massive number of connected devices with the introduction of two new technologies: eMTC (enhanced Machine Type Communication, often referred to as LTE-M) and NB-IoT (NarrowBand- Internet of Things). These two systems will support a scalable solution for data rates. Both solutions can be deployed either in shared spectrum together with legacy LTE, or as stand-alone, in a refarmed GSM carrier with a bandwidth as narrow as 180kHz for NB-IoT. Nokia believes that LTE-M, NB-IoT, and EC-GSM-IoT (Extended Coverage GSM for IoT) are better able to satisfy the connectivity profiles and requirements for IoT than legacy cellular networks. This is because by upgrading existing networks with an easy software upgrade, they provide optimized device KPIs, battery life, coverage and cost, along with the expected benefits from the use of licensed spectrum, such as no coexistence issue with other cellular networks. Page 3 www.nokia.com
2. IoT market landscape The IoT interconnects “things” and autonomously exchanges data between them. “Things” may be machines, parts of machines, smart meters, sensors or even everyday objects such as retail goods or wearables. This capability will bring about tremendous improvements in user experience and system efficiency. Support for IoT requires Machine-to-Machine (M2M) communication. M2M is defined as data communication among devices without the need for human interaction. This may be data communication between devices and a server, or device-to-device, either directly or over a network. Examples of M2M services include security, tracking, payment, smart grid and remote maintenance/monitoring. The total M2M market is estimated to be 30 billion connected devices by 2025 [Machina Research, May 2015]. Fixed and short-range communication will be used for most connections. However, there is also a significant number (around seven billion by 2025) of connections expected via traditional cellular IoT and LPWA networks (Figure 1). 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 - 2015 - 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Fixed & short range LPWA Traditional cellular 2023 2024 2025 Figure 1: Billion global connections, 2015-2025 (Machina Research, May 2015) © Nokia 2016 LPWA is split into two separate sub-categories. On the one hand, there are the current proprietary LPWA 1 technologies, such as SigFox and LoRa, which typically operate on unlicensed spectrum. On the other hand, there are the forthcoming 3GPP standardized cellular IoT technologies, in short cellular IoT, which typically operate on licensed spectrum. Designing cellular IoT to meet the key requirements laid out in Figure 2 will enable it to address the combined market of traditional cellular IoT and LPWA IoT connections shown in Figure 1. To reach the total potential volume of seven billion units by 2025, the cellular IoT market will need to grow 35 percent annually on average. IoT applications and services vary widely in terms of their service requirements, data throughput, latency and connectivity reliability. Page 4 www.nokia.com
• Traffic information • eCall • Smart grids Energy/Smart grid Vehicle telematics Irrigation control • • Environment sensing • Animal tracking Agriculture • Electric • Water • Gas • Heat • Infrastructure & production Smart metering Infrastructure monitoring • Traffic sensors & control • Street lighting • • Trash and waste containers • Public events – location services • Advertising displays • ATM’s, vending machines • Smart parking Smart city • Smoke detectors • Security systems • Smart appliances • Smart heat • Control/monitoring • Video surveillance Secure/Smart home • Motorcycles, bicycles • Cars • Truck trailers • Shipping containers • Kids, pets • • Find my stuff Insurance – valuable assets • Earthquake sensors • Avalanche and flooding • Heating and AC • Equipment status • Forest fires • Air pollution Tracking Environment & Industrial • Medical wearable’s mHealth Figure 2: Cellular IoT use cases The main vertical sectors for cellular IoT connections will have the following market shares [Machina Research, May 2015]: 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% 2015 Connected car Connected industry Connected cities Connected living and working 2025 Connected health Figure 3: Vertical sectors for IoT market share, 2015/2025 (Machina Research, May 2015) 3 © Nokia 2016 Page 5 www.nokia.com
3. LPWA IoT requirements The key requirements for LPWA networks to successfully support massive IoT deployment are: • Long battery life • Low device cost • Low deployment cost • Extended coverage • Support for a massive number of devices. 3.1 Long battery life Mobile phone and especially smartphone users are accustomed to charging their device batteries frequently. However, many IoT devices must operate for very long times, often years, without human intervention. A good example is a fire alarm device sending data directly to a fire department. The interval between battery changes in such a device is a very important cost factor. Long battery life would also enable completely new connected device applications not yet deployed. Many objects around us are not connected to an external power supply, but are battery operated or even work without a battery. These devices can also be brought into the network. The industry aims to achieve a minimum of 10 years of battery operation for simple daily connectivity with a small amount of data exchanged. 3.2 Low device cost IoT connectivity will mostly serve very low ARPU users, giving a ten-fold reduction in revenue compared to mobile broadband subscriptions. The current industry target is for a module cost of less than 5 USD. To enable a positive business case for cellular IoT, the total cost of ownership (TCO) including the device must be extremely low. 3.3 Low deployment cost The network cost of IoT connectivity, including initial CAPEX and annual OPEX, must also be kept to a minimum. A simple, centrally pushed software upgrade can deploy LPWA IoT connectivity on top of existing cellular networks to avoid any new hardware and site visits and keep CAPEX and OPEX to a minimum. Marketing and sales have a better understanding on new services that are being launched and how these perform. Page 6 www.nokia.com
3.4 Extended coverage Extended coverage is important in many IoT applications. Simple examples are smart meters, which are often in the basements of buildings behind concrete walls. Industrial applications such as elevators or conveyor belts can also be located deep indoors. This has driven the M2M community to look for methods to increase coverage by tolerating lower signal strength than is required for other devices. The target for the IoT connectivity link budget is an enhancement of 15-20dB. This coverage enhancement would typically be equivalent to the signal penetrating a wall or floor, enabling deeper indoor coverage. 3.5 Support for a massive number of devices IoT connectivity is growing significantly faster than normal mobile broadband connections and by 2025 there will be seven billion connected devices over cellular IoT networks. This is equivalent to the current number of global cellular subscriptions. The density of connected devices may not be uniform, leading to some cells having very high numbers of connected devices. This means that LPWA IoT connectivity needs to handle many simultaneous connected devices. 4. LPWA IoT technology landscape Today, 2G modules are the dominant solution for IoT, but the fastest growth will be in LTE modules. Low power, wide area and low cost modules are key enablers for the rapid changes expected. A module cost below 5 USD is needed for LPWA IoT devices to gain market share from short-range connectivity standards and wireless sensor networks like ZigBee, BT LE and Wi-Fi. The key LPWA IoT solutions are shown in Figure 4. LoRa N/A GSM (Rel.8) N/A EC-GSM- IoT (Rel.13) N/A LTE (Rel.8) eMTC (Rel.13) NB-IoT (Rel.13) Cat.1 Cat.M1 Cat.NB1 LTE user equipment category Range Max. coupling loss Spectrum <15km 155dB Unlicensed <1GHz <35km 144dB Licensed GSM bands <35km 164dB Licensed GSM bands <100km 144dB Licensed LTE bands In-band <100km 156dB Licensed LTE bands in-band Bandwidth <500kHz 200kHz 200kHz Max. data rate* <50kbps (DL/UL) <500kbps (DL/UL) <140kbps (DL/UL) *Max data rates provided are instantaneous peak rates. Figure 4: LPWA IoT and legacy LTE connectivity overview LTE carrier bandwidth (1.4 – 20MHz) <10Mbps(DL) <5Mbps(UL) 1.08MHz (1.4MHz carrier bandwidth) <1Mbps (DL/UL) <35km 164dB Licensed LTE in- band guard-band stand-alone 180kHz (200kHz carrier bandwidth) < 170kbps (DL) < 250kbps (UL) Page 7 www.nokia.com
LPWA IoT solutions can be divided into proprietary (i.e. non-3GPP) LPWA technologies and (3GPP) cellular IoT; SigFox and LoRa are both proprietary technologies deployed in unlicensed bands. For all these technologies, deployment in spectrum lower than 1GHz spectrum helps achieve maximum coverage, but higher bands in the spectrum may still be used. Three separate tracks for licensed cellular IoT technologies are being standardized in 3GPP: • LTE-M, an evolution of LTE optimized for IoT in 3GPP RAN. First released in Rel.12 in Q4 2014, further optimization is being included in Rel.13 with specifications completed in Q1 2016. • NB-IoT, the narrowband evolution of LTE for IoT in 3GPP RAN, included in Rel.13 with specifications completed in Q2 2016. • EC-GSM-IoT, an evolution of GSM optimized for IoT in 3GPP GERAN, included in Rel.13 with specifications completed in Q2 2016. Finally, a 5G solution for cellular IoT is expected to be part of the new 5G framework by 2020. The link budget is similar in all solutions, with a slight improvement for narrowband solutions such as NB-IoT and EC-GSM-IoT. LoRa and SigFox are planned to share spectrum with other solutions in the unlicensed bands. Some alternative proposals for NB-IoT operate in a dedicated 200kHz carrier refarmed from GSM, but do not support spectrum sharing with LTE networks. This is why Nokia has supported the NB-IoT proposal from the 3GPP Study Item phase. Based on an LTE narrowband evolution, this is designed to operate in a 200kHz carrier refarmed from GSM but has the further advantage of being able to operate in shared spectrum with an existing LTE network, thus requiring no additional deployment of antennas, radio or other hardware. The solutions for LTE-M, NB-IoT and EC-GSM-IoT will equally operate in spectrum shared with existing LTE or GSM networks - LTE-M and NB-IoT would be supplementary solutions addressing different use cases, with higher capacity on LTE-M and slightly lower cost and better coverage on NB-IoT. The deployment options for the cellular IoT solutions are different and depend on the mobile operator’s installed base. To benefit from good propagation and penetration characteristics, all solutions should ideally be deployed in sub 1GHz bands. Some operators may have GSM deployed in the 900MHz band without enough LTE spectrum to deploy LTE-M or NB-IoT within the LTE band. In such cases, EC-GSM-IoT could enable sharing of the carrier capacity in the GSM band. Alternatively, a refarmed GSM carrier would enable deployment of NB-IoT operating in 180kHz bandwidth. More precisely, deployment options for NB-IoT are shown in figure 5. T o I - B N T o I - B N T o I - B N LTE carrier In-band GSM carrier Standalone LTE carrier Guard-band Figure 5: NB-IoT deployment options 4 © Nokia 2016 Page 8 www.nokia.com
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