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Title Page
Foreword
Preface
Contents
Strategic Approach to a Fierce Domain: Findings from the Advanced Research Workshop
Part I. Critical Infrastructure Protection and Situational Awareness
Architecture for Community-Scale Critical Infrastructure Coordination for Security and Resilience
Analysis of National Cyber Situational Awareness Practices
Cyberspace Situational Awareness Framework
From the National Cyber Maturity to the Cyber Resilience: An Assessment of the Strategic Efforts of Turkey
Understanding the Vulnerabilities of Critical Energy Infrastructure to Cyber Terrorism and Threats: How to Secure Our Energy Systems
Commercial Satellites, Critical Information Infrastructure Protection, and Preventing Today's Threat Actors from Becoming Tomorrow's Captain Midnight
Part II. Policy and Legal Aspects of Cyber Warfare and Security
Cyber War: An Expected Apocalypse or a Hyped Threat?
Strategic, Legal and Doctrinal Consideration for a Better Cyber Defense in the Region of South-East Europe
Active Cyber Defense as a Preemptive Self-Defense Measure
Risk Analysis of Internet Censorship Circumvention: Case Study of Anonymization Tools and Effects
Part III. Emerging Issues in Cyber Security: Maritime Cyber Security, Big Data and Exercises
The Need for a Maritime Cyber Risk Management Framework
Maritime Cyber Security: System Analysis and Evolution of AIS
Big Data Analysis with LDA for Cybersecurity in Organizations
Cyber Security Exercises: A Comparison of Participant Evaluation Metrics and Scoring Systems
Subject Index
Author Index
STRATEGIC CYBER DEFENSE
NATO Science for Peace and Security Series This Series presents the results of scientific meetings supported under the NATO Programme: Science for Peace and Security (SPS). The NATO SPS Programme supports meetings in the following Key Priority areas: (1) Defence Against Terrorism; (2) Countering other Threats to Security and (3) NATO, Partner and Mediterranean Dialogue Country Priorities. The types of meeting supported are generally “Advanced Study Institutes” and “Advanced Research Workshops”. The NATO SPS Series collects together the results of these meetings. The meetings are co-organized by scientists from NATO countries and scientists from NATO’s “Partner” or “Mediterranean Dialogue” countries. The observations and recommendations made at the meetings, as well as the contents of the volumes in the Series, reflect those of participants and contributors only; they should not necessarily be regarded as reflecting NATO views or policy. Advanced Study Institutes (ASI) are high-level tutorial courses to convey the latest developments in a subject to an advanced-level audience. Advanced Research Workshops (ARW) are expert meetings where an intense but informal exchange of views at the frontiers of a subject aims at identifying directions for future action. Following a transformation of the programme in 2006 the Series has been re-named and re- organised. Recent volumes on topics not related to security, which result from meetings supported under the programme earlier, may be found in the NATO Science Series. The Series is published by IOS Press, Amsterdam, and Springer Science and Business Media, Dordrecht, in cooperation with NATO Emerging Security Challenges Division. Sub-Series A. Chemistry and Biology Springer Science and Business Media B. Physics and Biophysics Springer Science and Business Media C. Environmental Security Springer Science and Business Media D. Information and Communication Security IOS Press E. Human and Societal Dynamics IOS Press http://www.nato.int/science http://www.springer.com http://www.iospress.nl Sub-Series D: Information and Communication Security – Vol. 48 ISSN 1874-6268 (print) ISSN 1879-8292 (online)
Strategic Cyber Defense A Multidisciplinary Perspective Edited by Unal Tatar Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA, USA Yasir Gokce Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA and Adrian V. Gheorghe Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA, USA Amsterdam • Berlin • Washington, DC Published in cooperation with NATO Emerging Security Challenges Division
Proceedings of the NATO Advanced Research Workshop on A Framework for a Military Cyber Defense Strategy Norfolk, VA, USA 11–13 April 2016 © 2017 The authors and IOS Press. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without prior written permission from the publisher. ISBN 978-1-61499-770-2 (print) ISBN 978-1-61499-771-9 (online) Library of Congress Control Number: 2017946581 Publisher IOS Press BV Nieuwe Hemweg 6B 1013 BG Amsterdam Netherlands fax: +31 20 687 0019 e-mail: order@iospress.nl For book sales in the USA and Canada: IOS Press, Inc. 6751 Tepper Drive Clifton, VA 20124 USA Tel.: +1 703 830 6300 Fax: +1 703 830 2300 sales@iospress.com LEGAL NOTICE The author(s) of this publication is/are solely responsible for its content. This publication does not reflect the opinion of the publisher. The publisher cannot be held liable for any loss or damage that may occur because of this publication. PRINTED IN THE NETHERLANDS
v Foreword 1 Ambassador Sorin DUCARU NATO Assistant Secretary General A Framework for a Military Cyber Defence Strategy Workshop had a wide participation of experts from allied and partner countries. The efforts of the experts that have been involved in the organization of the event and in particular the NATO and partner country project co-directors Mr. Unal Tatar and Dr. Kenneth Geers as well as all the contributors of the workshop, deserve high appreciation. The interest in the workshop reflects the timeliness, the importance, and impact of the main topic and the related ones. The workshop covered issues of primary interest for NATO, such as critical infrastructure protection, developing cyber defense capabilities, and construction of IT infrastructure as well as cyber defense situational awareness. The workshop discussed options for integrating cyber defense in the military as the way to build an effective military cyber defense strategy. Cyber defense policies, strategies, and specific taxonomy focused on education, training, and exercises are areas of work where there is considerable expertise both within Allied Nations and Partner Nations as well as at the level of international organizations. As far as NATO is concerned, the tasking received from the Wales Summit – imperative of protecting the Allied communications information systems as well as the speed with which the sophistication and skill of cyber- attacks increases – required a fast pace in policy development. This has led to the adop- tion of cyber defense excessive policies and of technical measures regarding the protec- tion of information and communication systems of NATO and Allied Countries. Within the policy development process, the first NATO cyber defense policy was approved in 2008 at the Bucharest summit, and the Wales summit in September 2014 endorsed the third update or upgrade over NATO policy on cyber defense. The last NATO policy on cyber underlines that cyber defense is a part of NATO's core task of collective defense, connecting the area of cyber defense with Article 5 of the Washington treaty. Some of the most relevant topics that have been discussed within NATO in the cyber defense area are increasing resilience against cyber-attack, NATO cooperation with in- dustry in the cyber domain, updating the framework of technical cooperation between member states and the Alliance, the introduction of cyber defense capability targets into the NATO defense planning process, the inclusion of cyber defense in training, exercises and in the operational planning at NATO level and also the cyber dimension of hybrid warfare. Regarding the cyber dimension of hybrid warfare, although cyber-attacks occur in a virtual environment they affect the real world irrespective of the civilian or military domain. A novelty during the Wales summit was the cyber dimension of hybrid warfare even though hybrid itself is not a new phenomenon. Such attacks include distributed denial of service, defacement of state government websites, the hacking of data systems and malicious traffic rerouting, cyber-espionage through computer malware as well as 1 Adapted from the opening speech (in a video message) delivered by Ambassador Sorin Ducaru, NATO As- sistant Secretary General.                                                            
vi propaganda and information manipulation. Recent examples of cyber-attacks reflect the fact that various entities are already subject to the effective use of cyber capabilities in hybrid operational context and recent events have shown that cyber-attacks can generate significant disruptions, such as those of electricity grids (as the case in Ukraine at the end of 2015 showed). The commitment to prioritize and accelerate national investment in cyber defense, the expansion of the centralized protection by the NATO computer incidents response capabilities to the six NATO force integration units in the Baltic coun- tries in Poland, Romania, and Bulgaria, the delivery of the NATO cyber range capability, the development of the partnerships with the partner nations, international organizations, and with the industry, the NATO industry cyber partnership, and last but not least the focus to expand cyber defense training education and exercises were the main compo- nents of our work before the Warsaw Summit. The expertise and the contributions to the workshop by each participant are reflected in the conclusions of this important event. The outcome of this workshop which is best represented in this book will provide a valuable input to the ongoing work in NATO.
vii Preface Unal TATAR, Yasir GOKCE and Adrian V. GHEORGHE As the world becomes more digitalized and dependent on internet technologies, cyber security has increasingly been regarded as a national security issue. For the last six years, the number of countries having published cyber security strategies has been on the rise. However, due to the cross-cutting character of cyber security, national cyber security strategies often run the risk of failing to address all cyber security requirements of the institutions within a country. Therefore, many national cyber security strategies highlight the importance of generating institution-based cyber security strategies which specifi- cally envision precautions for the existing problems and provide guidance on how to tackle future challenges. The NATO Advanced Research Workshop (ARW), entitled “A Framework for a Military Cyber Defense Strategy” was held from 11 to 13 April 2016 in Norfolk, Vir- ginia, USA. It was organized by the Old Dominion University and the Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv. The workshop was enabled by NATO’s Science for Peace and Security (SPS) Program and focused on SPS’s key priority areas for cyber defense along with NATO’s cyber defense policy implementation. The ARW brought together experts with an eclectic mix of backgrounds and specialties, from a group of NATO Member States and partner countries that mirror the diversity of the Alliance and its people. The participants considered not only technical implications of cyber security ef- forts, but also legal, strategic, educational and organizational aspects, providing, in the limited timeframe, for a surprisingly ample view of this field and its intricacies. The discussions highlighted the complexity of cyber security and the numerous challenges associated with the field, which will only be compounded by the formulation of a collec- tive strategy on cyber security and its attendant activities. Key to cyber security efforts is the diversity of the stakeholders involved, ranging from government institutions, the militaries, private and public companies, academia and civil society groups, setting up a vast web of relations whose complexity must be managed. Beginning with the different interests and motivations of the participants, continuing with their differing resources, visions and modes of operation, and ending with the monumental task of setting up a system where these actors march in lock-step in the direction of mutually reinforcing collective action for security gains is crucial. Cyber security studies is almost two decades old, yet has become subject of not only practitioners but also academics. Hitherto cyber security studies showed that cyber secu- rity is not a discipline yet and requires an interdisciplinary approach. This book aims to present state of the art approaches from a multidisciplinary view. In this book, highlights from the discussions in the ARW are shared in 15 chapters under three sections which are: ⎯ Critical Infrastructure Protection and Situational Awareness ⎯ Policy and Legal Aspects of Cyber Warfare and Security ⎯ Emerging Issues in Cyber Security: Maritime Cyber Security, Big Data and Ex- ercises
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