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论文研究 - 基于夜光数据的“鬼城”发展研究-以四川省为例.pdf

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Research on the Development of “Ghost City” Based on Night Light Data: Taking Sichuan Province as an Example
Abstract
Keywords
1. Introduction
2. Research Scope and Data
2.1. Research Scope
2.2. Data Sources
3. Data Processing
3.1. DMSP/OLS Data Processing
3.2. Extraction of Urban Built-up Areas of Landsat8 OLI_TIRS Data
4. Research Ideas and Methods
4.1. Population Spatialization
4.2. “Ghost City” Index
5. Analysis of Calculation Results
6. The Reason for the Formation of Ghost Towns
7. Conclusions and Suggestions
Conflicts of Interest
References
Open Journal of Social Sciences, 2019, 7, 176-188 https://www.scirp.org/journal/jss ISSN Online: 2327-5960 ISSN Print: 2327-5952 Research on the Development of “Ghost City” Based on Night Light Data: Taking Sichuan Province as an Example Qiqi Zeng1, Wenjun Zhang2 1School of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Southwest University of Science and Technology, Mianyang, China 2School of Environment and Resources, Southwest University of Science and Technology, Mianyang, China How to cite this paper: Zeng, Q.Q. and Zhang, W.J. (2019) Research on the Devel- opment of “Ghost City” Based on Night Light Data: Taking Sichuan Province as an Example. Open Journal of Social Sciences, 7, 176-188. https://doi.org/10.4236/jss.2019.712013 Received: November 17, 2019 Accepted: December 6, 2019 Published: December 9, 2019 Copyright © 2019 by author(s) and Scientific Research Publishing Inc. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY 4.0). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Open Access Abstract Due to the improvement of urbanization level and unreasonable development in China, many cities have begun to appear as “Ghost City”; that is, the phe- nomenon of high vacancy rate and low occupancy rate in urban areas. The emergence of this phenomenon will seriously affect the healthy development of cities. Therefore, the monitoring and analysis of the urban “Ghost City” index is of great significance to urban population and urban construction. This paper uses Landsat8 remote sensing image data, night light remote sensing image data, and resident population data of various cities and counties in Sichuan Province to calculate the “Ghost City” index, and obtains the “Ghost City” Index of prefecture-level cities and county-level cities in Sichuan Province. Based on the judgment criteria of the Ghost City, the calculation results show that three cities have become “Ghost City” within the research scope; eight ci- ties have a tendency to develop into “Ghost City”; the rest of the cities have developed well and there has not been a “Ghost City” phenomenon. Accord- ing to this conclusion, this paper studies the similarities and differences be- tween the cities that are the ghost towns or the cities with the development trend of ghost towns, analyzes the reasons for the formation of ghost towns and makes suggestions for the urbanization of Sichuan Province, and pro- vides reference for the direction of urban development and rational planning. Keywords Urbanization, DMSP/OLS, “Ghost City” Index, Light Gray Value 1. Introduction Since the reform and opening-up, China’s urbanization has increased, and the 176 Open Journal of Social Sciences DOI: 10.4236/jss.2019.712013 Dec. 9, 2019
Q. Q. Zeng, W. J. Zhang urbanization process has gradually accelerated, and the demand for housing has also risen sharply. The National Urban Land Use Data Summary Results Analy- sis Report [1] mentioned that the national urban land area increased by 1.65 million hectares in 2009-2014, with an average annual growth rate of 4.2%, indi- cating that urban construction land is increasing in a large amount. The devel- opment and unreasonable development of the city led to the emergence of emp- ty cities or ghost cities, that is, the phenomenon of high housing vacancy rate and low occupancy rate [2]. Due to the insufficient monitoring of the dynamic changes of urban popula- tion information, the phenomenon of “Ghost City” has appeared one after anoth- er. The emergence of this phenomenon has seriously affected the development of the city and restricted the advancement of urbanization, resulting in the waste of land resources and weakening urban operational efficiency. The criterion for “Ghost City” is that the ratio of urban population to built-up area is less than 0.5 or slightly higher than 0.5 (the standard is based on the land occupation stan- dard from the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the built-up area per square kilometer holds 10,000 people), this criterion known as the “Ghost City” Index. This study takes Sichuan Province as an example, combined with the 2013 Landsat8 OLI_TIRS and DMSP/OLS night-time remote sensing image data, through the fitting of the urban population and the extraction of the built-up area, to achieve the city-level and county-level cities in Sichuan Prov- ince. The analysis and monitoring of the “Ghost City” index, and through the analysis of the reasons for the formation of the ghost city phenomenon, propose corresponding countermeasures, and provide the basis for urban development and planning. 2. Research Scope and Data 2.1. Research Scope Sichuan Province has complex landforms and has four types of landforms: moun- tains, hills, plains and plateaus. Therefore, this paper selects Sichuan Province as the research scope and provides reference for the study of ghost cities in other cities in China. Sichuan governs 18 prefecture-level cities, 3 autonomous prefec- tures, 17 county-level cities, 108 counties, and 4 autonomous counties. In this study, only 18 prefecture-level cities and 17 county-level cities were selected as research areas analysis (Figure 1) and monitoring of the “Ghost City” index in Sichuan Province. 2.2. Data Sources 1) Luminous remote sensing image data. The night-time remote sensing im- age data used in this paper is from the National Geophysical Data Center (https://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/eog/dmsp/downloadV4composites.html) and is de- fined by the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program. The Operational Lines- can System (hereinafter referred to as OLS) on the linear scanning service system 177 Open Journal of Social Sciences DOI: 10.4236/jss.2019.712013
Q. Q. Zeng, W. J. Zhang Figure 1. Research scope. (DMSP) was taken in 2013. In this paper, the data of the night light in Sichuan Province extracted by the study is 0 - 63, the saturated light gray value is 63, and the spatial resolution is 1km (Note: Due to the DMSP/OLS luminous remote sens- ing image data on the National Geophysical Data Center website as of 2013, the research data selected in this paper is the 2013 data). 2) Landsat8 OLI_TIRS remote sensing image data. The satellite imagery cov- ering the whole region of Sichuan Province was selected in 2013. The data comes from the Geospatial Data Cloud Platform of the Computer Network Information Center of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (http://www.gscloud.cn). 3) Population data of city-level and county-level cities at various levels. From the China Statistics Information Network (http://www.tjcn.org/). 4) Other auxiliary data. It mainly includes vector administrative boundaries at the national, provincial, municipal, and county levels in China. 3. Data Processing 3.1. DMSP/OLS Data Processing In order to obtain the remote sensing image data of the study area, the obtained DMSP/OLS luminous remote sensing image data is tailored according to the ad- ministrative boundary vector data of Sichuan Province, and the DMSP data of various cities and county-level cities in Sichuan Province are obtained (Figure 2). 3.2. Extraction of Urban Built-up Areas of Landsat8 OLI_TIRS Data The Landsat data of the studied cities were analyzed, and the land use data in- cluding the use of construction land, forest land and water bodies were obtained. 178 Open Journal of Social Sciences DOI: 10.4236/jss.2019.712013
Q. Q. Zeng, W. J. Zhang Figure 2. DMSP data of various cities and county-level cities in Sichuan Province. The important basis for assessing the level of urban development is urban con- struction land. Researchers at home and abroad have made a lot of research on the extraction of urban construction land. Among them, Xu Hanqiu [3] pro- posed to use the IBI building land index to extract urban built-up areas from re- mote sensing images. Accuracy can reach more than 96%. The IBI building land index can be constructed by the three indexes of normalized building index NDBI, vegetation cover index NDVI and improved normalized water body in- dex MNDWI. Calculation formula as follows: ( ( = MNDWI NDVI NDBI = = + − B6 B5 B6 B5 ) ) B3 B6 B3 B6 B5 B4 B5 B4 ( ) ( ) ( ) ( − + − (1) (2) ) (3) + Among them, B3, B4, B5 and B6 are the green band, the red band, the near- infrared band, and the SWIR1 band of the Landsat8 OLI_TIRS image. The IBI building land index formula is as follows: ) ) NDBI NDVI MNDWI 2 NDBI NDVI MNDWI 2 IBI + + − + ( ( =     (4)     Substituting the Equation (1), Equation (2), Equation (3) into the Equation (4), the finishing can be obtained: ( ( ( 2 B6 B5 B6 B5 ( 2 B6 B5 B6 B5 ) ( ) ( IBI + + − + − − ) ) = B5 B4 B5 B4 B5 B4 B5 B4 + + − − ) ( ) ( ) ) − + ( ( B3 B6 B3 B6 B3 B6 B3 B6 − − + + ) ( ) ( ) ) (5) Due to space limitations, the processing results of all prefecture-level cities and county-level cities cannot be displayed. Only the construction land and built-up areas extracted by the IBI index of Mianyang City are displayed here, as shown in Figure 3 and Figure 4. 4. Research Ideas and Methods The research process of this paper for the ghost city index (Figure 5) is as fol- lows: 179 Open Journal of Social Sciences DOI: 10.4236/jss.2019.712013
Q. Q. Zeng, W. J. Zhang Figure 3. Mianyang City construction land extracted by IBI index. Figure 4. Mianyang City built-up area. Figure 5. Research process. Note: The study obtained the population of the population by analyzing the population and lighting data of various cities and counties in Sichuan Province, and extracted the built-up area of Landsat8 OLI_TIRS data with relevant soft- ware to obtain the ghost city index of Sichuan Province. The data involved in 180 Open Journal of Social Sciences DOI: 10.4236/jss.2019.712013
Q. Q. Zeng, W. J. Zhang this study may have certain errors due to the difficulty of obtaining. It is only for the study of the ghost city index method, and the data will be continuously im- proved in future research. 4.1. Population Spatialization The administrative boundary vector data of Sichuan Province is overlapped with the night light remote sensing image, and the DMSP/OLS data of each city and county level city is obtained through the cropping in the GIS data management tool, and the data of night light intensity greater than 6 is obtained through attribute extraction, and after extraction, the data is extracted. The light intensity distribution is shown in Figure 6. After obtaining the data of night light intensi- ty greater than 6 in various cities and counties, use the zoning statistics function to calculate the sum of the light gray values of the nighttime lighting data of each city and county level (Table 1, Figure 7). Many scholars have confirmed that the spatial distribution of population has a certain correlation with nighttime lighting data. This paper will fit and analyze the sum of the light intensity and the resident population of 18 prefecture-level cities and 17 county-level cities in Sichuan (Figure 8). In the figure, the sum of the light intensity values of each city is X, and the number of permanent resi- dents in each city is Y. Figure 6. DMSP data with a light intensity greater than 6. DOI: 10.4236/jss.2019.712013 Figure 7. DMSP partition statistics. 181 Open Journal of Social Sciences
Q. Q. Zeng, W. J. Zhang Table 1. The sum of the light gray values of the Prefecture-level city and County-level cities. Number Prefecture-level city The sum of the light gray values County-level city The sum of the light gray values 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Zigong Luzhou Ya’an Dazhou Yibin Suining Nanchong Ziyang Neijiang Guang’an Bazhong Leshan Mianyang Deyang Meishan Panzhihua Chengdu Guangyuan Source: Author self-painting. 9030 10,281 2835 7789 12,647 12,078 17,385 7026 9780 8266 6779 16,604 28,371 21,901 14,333 22,618 178,623 19,091 Guanghan Wanyuan Xichang Jiangyou Dujiangyan Jianyang Longchang Chongzhou Langzhong Huaying Qionglai Emeishan Pengzhou Maerkang Mianzhu Shifang Kangding 18,012 1313 15,436 11,139 13,323 5566 4178 12,724 7771 2206 6271 7266 15,973 1265 10,371 8421 4061 According to Figure 8, the matching of the city’s light intensity value with the resident population has a good effect. Therefore, the population quantity infor- mation extracted by real-time remote sensing data is scientific and accurate. The urban population is obtained by fitting the regression equation. The calculation formula of the urban population Num1 of the prefecture-level city and the urban population of the county-level city is as follows: Num1 0.005 DN 1954.13 (6) = × DN (7) Num2 = e 3.461 − Note: DN is the sum of the light gray values of the city and county level cities. 4.2. “Ghost City” Index Ghost City is an urban disease in the process of urban development due to unre- stricted expansion, lack of rational planning and unbalanced development, and the urban housing vacancy rate is too high and the occupancy rate is too low. In recent years, residents from the top to the bottom of the country have gradually realized the importance of the rational development of the city and began to pay 182 Open Journal of Social Sciences DOI: 10.4236/jss.2019.712013
Q. Q. Zeng, W. J. Zhang (a) (b) Figure 8. Light and population fit curve. (a) Prefecture-level city; (b) County-level city. attention to the development of “healthy cities”. The existence of the “Ghost City” phenomenon is inevitably inconsistent with the trend of urban healthy devel- opment. The “Ghost City” index is an important indicator to measure whether the city has become a “Ghost City” [4]. Therefore, the monitoring of the “Ghost City Index” is particularly important. According to the built-up area of prefecture-level cities and county-level cities in Sichuan Province extracted from the previous article and the urban popula- tion obtained according to the fitted regression equation, the “Ghost City” index of prefecture-level cities and county-level cities in Sichuan Province is calculated (Table 2). The calculation formula is as follows: Index = Num S (8) Note: Index is the “Ghost City” index of the Prefecture-level city and Coun- ty-level cities; Num is the urban population; S is the built-up area. 183 Open Journal of Social Sciences DOI: 10.4236/jss.2019.712013
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