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CAMEO Conflict and Mediation Event Observations Event and Actor Codebook Event Data Project Department of Political Science Pennsylvania State University Pond Laboratory University Park, PA 16802 http://eventdata.psu.edu/ Philip A. Schrodt (Project Director): < schrodt@psu.edu > (+1)814.863.8978 Version: 1.1b3 March 2012
Contents 1 Introduction 1.0.1 Events . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.0.2 Actors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1 4 2 VERB CODEBOOK 6 6 2.1 MAKE PUBLIC STATEMENT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2 APPEAL . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 2.3 EXPRESS INTENT TO COOPERATE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 2.4 CONSULT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 2.5 ENGAGE IN DIPLOMATIC COOPERATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 2.6 ENGAGE IN MATERIAL COOPERATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 2.7 PROVIDE AID . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 2.8 YIELD . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 2.9 INVESTIGATE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 2.10 DEMAND . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 2.11 DISAPPROVE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 2.12 REJECT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 2.13 THREATEN . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61 2.14 PROTEST . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 2.15 EXHIBIT MILITARY POSTURE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 2.16 REDUCE RELATIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 2.17 COERCE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 2.18 ASSAULT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 2.19 FIGHT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 2.20 ENGAGE IN UNCONVENTIONAL MASS VIOLENCE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87 3 ACTOR CODEBOOK 89 3.1 HIERARCHICAL RULES OF CODING . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90 3.1.1 Domestic or International? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 3.1.2 Domestic Region . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 3.1.3 Primary Role Code . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 3.1.4 Party or Speciality (Primary Role Code) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94 3.1.5 Ethnicity and Religion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94 Secondary Role Code (and/or Tertiary) 3.1.6 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94 3.1.7 Specialty (Secondary Role Code) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 3.1.8 Organization Code . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 3.1.9 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 International Codes i
CONTENTS ii 3.2 OTHER RULES AND FORMATS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 3.2.1 Date Restrictions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 3.2.2 Actors and Agents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 3.2.3 Dictionaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 3.2.4 Automatically-coded Celebrities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 3.2.5 Coding Conventions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104 4 CAMEO Religious Coding Scheme 4.1 105 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 Self-Identification . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 4.1.1 Individualism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 4.1.2 4.1.3 Hierarchies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 4.2 First trio of letters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 4.3 Second trio of letters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 4.3.1 Denominations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 4.3.2 Generic terms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 4.3.3 Generic, or Denominational? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 4.3.4 Region . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 4.3.5 Nothing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 4.4 Third trio of characters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 4.5 Religion-specific coding issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 4.5.1 Christianity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 4.5.2 Hinduism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 Judaism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 4.5.3 4.5.4 Shintoism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 110 5 CAMEO Ethnic Coding Scheme 111 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 5.1 5.2 Identification of Ethnic Groups . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 5.3 CAMEOECS Components . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112 5.3.1 Ethnic Group Names . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112 5.3.2 Ethnic Group Codes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112 5.3.3 Selected Countries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113 6 CAMEO EVENT CODES 7 KEDS Project Actor Codes 8 CAMEO Religious Classification System 9 ISO-3166 Codes 131 139 154 168 10 Regional Dictionaries 174 10.0.4 Ethnicity and Religion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 174 10.0.5 The Middle East . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 177 10.0.6 Turkey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179 10.0.7 West Africa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 181 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 185 10.0.8 The Balkans
CONTENTS iii 11 SUPPLEMENTS 187 11.1 Actor Coding Cheatsheet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187 11.2 Ten (or Eleven) Commandments on Verb Phrases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 188
List of Tables 3.1 Generic Domestic Role Codes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 International/Transnational Generic Codes 3.2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 International Region Codes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 3.3 3.4 International/Transnational Actors with Special Codes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100 4.1 Religious Codes: First Three Letters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 4.2 Religious Codes: Second Three Letters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 5.1 CAMEO Ethnic Group Codes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114 7.1 List of Keds Project Actor Codes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 8.1 Directory of all Religious Codes (v.1.0) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 154 9.1 United Nations Country Codes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 168 10.1 Main Ethnic Group Codes in Keds Regional Dictionaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175 10.2 Main Religious Group Codes (from HURIDOCS) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 176 10.3 Special Actor Codes for the Middle East . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 178 10.4 Ambiguous Actors and Idiosyncratic Codes for Turkey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 180 10.5 Special Actor Codes for Turkey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 180 10.6 Nigerian States/Regions with Special Codes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182 10.7 Liberian Counties/Regions with Special Codes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 183 10.8 West African Actors with Special Codes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 184 10.9 Special Actor Codes for the Balkans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 186 iv
Acknowledgments The CAMEO event coding ontology has been developed over a period of more than a decade and has benefitted from substantial contributions by a number of people. At the risk of missing some people, the major contributors have been: Initial development of verb and actor ontology (2000-2003): Deborah J. Gerner, ¨Om¨ur Yilmaz, Philip A. Schrodt Refinements of actor ontology (2004-2007): Dennis Hermrick, Baris Kesgin, Peter Picucci, Joseph Pull, Almas Sayeed, Sarah Stacey Organized Religion (2009-2011): Matthias Heilke Ethnic Groups (2011): Jay Yonamine, Benjamin Bagozzi Funding for CAMEO has been provided by the National Science Foundation (SES-0096086, SES- 0455158, SES-0527564, SES-1004414) This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Un- ported License. Latest update: March 16, 2012 v
Preface: About This Manual In the early days of the web, one would frequently encounter pages highlighted with the phrase “Under Construction” along with some icon, at varying levels of cleverness, invoking roadwork, . These have become less frequent since as the norms of the Web evolved, and the community came to collectively recognize that almost every web site is always “Under construction.” As is this manual. The CAMEO system has been a work-in-progress since it began in 2000, and this manual has been an effort to track and codify those efforts, but is now, and always has been, a working document that has been primarily intended to be used internally at the event data projects first at Kansas, and then at Penn State. Nonetheless, it has information that other people have found useful, and given that one of the first things that seems to get lost in coding projects is the manual, making an imperfect manual available seemed to be the better course of action than waiting to write the perfect manual. Over the years, we have tried to make it more systematic, and in fact parts have gone through extensive re-writes. But other parts—notably a number of the region-specific codes—weren’t really finished (or, to an extent, have been superseded) but still contained information we weren’t ready to throw out. The original event coding scheme, and the newer religious and ethnic classification schemes are quite systematic; the actor scheme is very uneven, and we are still working on a separate section on agents. It is what is it. vi
Chapter 1 Introduction For several decades, two coding frameworks dominated event data research: Charles McClelland’s WEIS [8, 9] and the Conflict and Peace Data Bank (COPDAB) developed by Edward Azar [3, 1, 2]. Both were created during the Cold War and assumed a “Westphalian-Clausewitzian” political world in which sovereign states reacted to each other primarily through official diplomacy and military threats. While innovative when first created, these coding systems are not optimal for dealing with contemporary issues such as ethnic conflict, low-intensity violence, organized criminal activity, and multilateral intervention. McClelland [10, pg. 177] viewed WEIS as only a “first phase”; he certainly did not anticipate that it would continue to be used, with only minor modifications, for four decades. CAMEO was originally intended merely to support an NSF-funded project on the study of inter- state conflict mediation. It was also originally intended to be finished in six months of part-time work. It has, instead, developed as a “next generation” coding scheme designed both to correct some of the long-recognized problems in WEIS and COPDAB, but more importantly, designed both for automated coding and for the detailed coding of sub-state actors. The system was used extensively in the DARPA-funded Integrated Conflict Early Warning System (ICEWS) project [11] and proved surprisingly robust in that environment. Additional detail on the development of the system can be found in • http://eventdata.psu.edu/papers.dir/ISA08.pdf • http://eventdata.psu.edu/papers.dir/Gerner.APSA.02.pdf A published version is at [15], and a detailed history of the KEDS project can be found in [13] or http://eventdata.psu.edu/utilities.dir/KEDS.History.0611.pdf. 1.0.1 Events Event categories present in WEIS and COPDAB have both conceptual and practical shortcomings. For instance, WEIS has only a single subcategory for “Military engagement” that must encompass everything from a shot fired at a border patrol to the strategic bombing of cities. COPDAB contains just 16 event categories, spanning a conflict-cooperation continuum that many researchers consider inappropriate. Although there have been efforts to create alternative coding systems—most notably Lengs Behavioral Correlates of War (BCOW) [7]—WEIS and COPDAB remain the predominant frameworks in the published literature. The lock-in of these early coding systems is readily explained by the time consuming nature of human event coding from paper and microfilm sources. Because human coders typically produce 1
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