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Fundamentals of futures and options markets.pdf

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HullFund8eCh01ProblemSolutions
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CHAPTER 1 Introduction Practice Questions Problem 1.8. Suppose you own 5,000 shares that are worth $25 each. How can put options be used to provide you with insurance against a decline in the value of your holding over the next four months? You should buy 50 put option contracts (each on 100 shares) with a strike price of $25 and an expiration date in four months. If at the end of four months the stock price proves to be less than $25, you can exercise the options and sell the shares for $25 each. Problem 1.9. A stock when it is first issued provides funds for a company. Is the same true of an exchange-traded stock option? Discuss. An exchange-traded stock option provides no funds for the company. It is a security sold by one investor to another. The company is not involved. By contrast, a stock when it is first issued is sold by the company to investors and does provide funds for the company. Problem 1.10. Explain why a futures contract can be used for either speculation or hedging. If an investor has an exposure to the price of an asset, he or she can hedge with futures contracts. If the investor will gain when the price decreases and lose when the price increases, a long futures position will hedge the risk. If the investor will lose when the price decreases and gain when the price increases, a short futures position will hedge the risk. Thus either a long or a short futures position can be entered into for hedging purposes. If the investor has no exposure to the price of the underlying asset, entering into a futures contract is speculation. If the investor takes a long position, he or she gains when the asset’s price increases and loses when it decreases. If the investor takes a short position, he or she loses when the asset’s price increases and gains when it decreases. Problem 1.11. A cattle farmer expects to have 120,000 pounds of live cattle to sell in three months. The live-cattle futures contract on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange is for the delivery of 40,000 pounds of cattle. How can the farmer use the contract for hedging? From the farmer’s viewpoint, what are the pros and cons of hedging? The farmer can short 3 contracts that have 3 months to maturity. If the price of cattle falls, the gain on the futures contract will offset the loss on the sale of the cattle. If the price of cattle rises, the gain on the sale of the cattle will be offset by the loss on the futures contract. Using futures contracts to hedge has the advantage that it can at no cost reduce risk to almost zero. Its disadvantage is that the farmer no longer gains from favorable movements in cattle prices.
Problem 1.12. It is July 2013. A mining company has just discovered a small deposit of gold. It will take six months to construct the mine. The gold will then be extracted on a more or less continuous basis for one year. Futures contracts on gold are available on the New York Mercantile Exchange. There are delivery months every two months from August 2013 to December 2014. Each contract is for the delivery of 100 ounces. Discuss how the mining company might use futures markets for hedging. The mining company can estimate its production on a month by month basis. It can then short futures contracts to lock in the price received for the gold. For example, if a total of 3,000 ounces are expected to be produced in September 2014 and October 2014, the price received for this production can be hedged by shorting a total of 30 October 2014 contracts. Problem 1.13. Suppose that a March call option on a stock with a strike price of $50 costs $2.50 and is held until March. Under what circumstances will the holder of the option make a gain? Under what circumstances will the option be exercised? Draw a diagram showing how the profit on a long position in the option depends on the stock price at the maturity of the option. The holder of the option will gain if the price of the stock is above $52.50 in March. (This ignores the time value of money.) The option will be exercised if the price of the stock is above $50.00 in March. The profit as a function of the stock price is shown in Figure S1.1. Profit 20 30 40 50 60 70 Stock Price 20 15 10 5 0 -5 Figure S1.1 Profit from long position in Problem 1.13 Problem 1.14. Suppose that a June put option on a stock with a strike price of $60 costs $4 and is held until June. Under what circumstances will the holder of the option make a gain? Under what circumstances will the option be exercised? Draw a diagram showing how the profit on a short position in the option depends on the stock price at the maturity of the option. The seller of the option will lose if the price of the stock is below $56.00 in June. (This ignores the time value of money.) The option will be exercised if the price of the stock is below $60.00 in June. The profit as a function of the stock price is shown in Figure S1.2.
60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 -10 Profit 20 40 60 80 100 120 Stock Price Figure S1.2 Profit from short position in Problem 1.14 Problem 1.15. It is May and a trader writes a September call option with a strike price of $20. The stock price is $18, and the option price is $2. Describe the investor’s cash flows if the option is held until September and the stock price is $25 at this time. The trader has an inflow of $2 in May and an outflow of $5 in September. The $2 is the cash received from the sale of the option. The $5 is the result of the option being exercised. The investor has to buy the stock for $25 in September and sell it to the purchaser of the option for $20. Problem 1.16. An investor writes a December put option with a strike price of $30. The price of the option is $4. Under what circumstances does the investor make a gain? The investor makes a gain if the price of the stock is above $26 at the time of exercise. (This ignores the time value of money.) Problem 1.17. The CME Group offers a futures contract on long-term Treasury bonds. Characterize the investors likely to use this contract. Most investors will use the contract because they want to do one of the following: a) Hedge an exposure to long-term interest rates. b) Speculate on the future direction of long-term interest rates. c) Arbitrage between the spot and futures markets for Treasury bonds. Problem 1.18. An airline executive has argued: “There is no point in our using oil futures. There is just as much chance that the price of oil in the future will be less than the futures price as there is that it will be greater than this price.” Discuss the executive’s viewpoint.
It may well be true that there is just as much chance that the price of oil in the future will be above the futures price as that it will be below the futures price. This means that the use of a futures contract for speculation would be like betting on whether a coin comes up heads or tails. But it might make sense for the airline to use futures for hedging rather than speculation. The futures contract then has the effect of reducing risks. It can be argued that an airline should not expose its shareholders to risks associated with the future price of oil when there are contracts available to hedge the risks. Problem 1.19. “Options and futures are zero-sum games.” What do you think is meant by this statement? The statement means that the gain (loss) to the party with the short position is equal to the loss (gain) to the party with the long position. In total, the gain to all parties is zero. Problem 1.20. A trader enters into a short forward contract on 100 million yen. The forward exchange rate is $0.0080 per yen. How much does the trader gain or lose if the exchange rate at the end of the contract is (a) $0.0074 per yen; (b) $0.0091 per yen? a) The trader sells 100 million yen for $0.0080 per yen when the exchange rate is $0.0074 per yen. The gain is 100 0 0006 × . millions of dollars or $60,000. b) The trader sells 100 million yen for $0.0080 per yen when the exchange rate is $0.0091 per yen. The loss is 100 0 0011 × . millions of dollars or $110,000. Problem 1.21. A trader enters into a short cotton futures contract when the futures price is 50 cents per pound. The contract is for the delivery of 50,000 pounds. How much does the trader gain or lose if the cotton price at the end of the contract is (a) 48.20 cents per pound; (b) 51.30 cents per pound? a) The trader sells for 50 cents per pound something that is worth 48.20 cents per pound. Gain = ($0.5000 − $0.4820) × 50,000 = $900. b) The trader sells for 50 cents per pound something that is worth 51.30 cents per pound. Loss = ($0.5130 − $0.5000) × 50,000 = $650. Problem 1.22. A company knows that it is due to receive a certain amount of a foreign currency in four months. What type of option contract is appropriate for hedging? A long position in a four-month put option can provide insurance against the exchange rate falling below the strike price. It ensures that the foreign currency can be sold for at least the strike price. Problem 1.23. A United States company expects to have to pay 1 million Canadian dollars in six months. Explain how the exchange rate risk can be hedged using (a) a forward contract; (b) an option. The company could enter into a long forward contract to buy 1 million Canadian dollars in six months. This would have the effect of locking in an exchange rate equal to the current
forward exchange rate. Alternatively the company could buy a call option giving it the right (but not the obligation) to purchase 1 million Canadian dollars at a certain exchange rate in six months. This would provide insurance against a strong Canadian dollar in six months while still allowing the company to benefit from a weak Canadian dollar at that time. Problem 1.24 A trader buys a call option with a strike price of $30 for $3. Does the trader ever exercise the option and lose money on the trade. Explain. Yes, the trader will exercise if the asset price is greater than $30, but will cover the cost of the call option only if the price is greater than $33. The trader exercises and loses money if the price is between $30 and $33. Problem 1.25 A trader sells a put option with a strike price of $40 for $5. What is the trader’s maximum gain and maximum loss? How does your answer change if it is a call option? The trader’s maximum gain from the put option is $5. The maximum loss is $35, corresponding to the situation where the option is exercised and the asset price is zero. If the option were a call, the trader’s maximum gain would still be $5, but there would be no bound to the loss as there is in theory no limit to how high the asset price could rise. Problem 1.26 ‘‘Buying a stock and a put option on the stock is a form of insurance.’’ Explain this statement. If the stock price declines below the strike price of the put option, the stock can be sold for the strike price. Further Questions Problem 1.27 (Excel file) Trader A enters into a forward contract to buy an asset for $1000 an ounce in one year. Trader B buys a call option to buy the asset for $1000 in one year. The cost of the option is $100. What is the difference between the positions of the traders? Show the profit as a function of the price of the asset in one year for the two traders. Trader A makes a profit of ST ̶ 1000 and Trader B makes a profit of max(ST ̶ 1000, 0) –100 where ST is the price of the asset in one year. Trader A does better if ST is above $900 as indicated in the diagram below
Profit 300 200 100 0 700 - 100 - 200 - 300 900 1100 1300 Asset Price Trader A Trader B Problem 1.28 On June 25, 2012, as indicated in Table 1.2, the spot offer price of Google stock is $561.51 and the offer price of a call option with a strike price of $560 and a maturity date of September is $30.70. A trader is considering two alternatives: buy 100 shares of the stock and buy 100 September call options. For each alternative, what is (a) the upfront cost, (b) the total gain if the stock price in September is $620, and (c) the total loss if the stock price in September is $500. Assume that the option is not exercised before September and if stock is purchased it is sold in September. a) The upfront cost for the share alternative is $56,151. The upfront cost for the option alternative is $3,070. b) The gain from the stock alternative is $62,000−$56,151=$5,849. The total gain from the option alternative is ($620-$560)×100−$3,070=$2,930. c) The loss from the stock alternative is $56,151−$50,000=$6,151. The loss from the option alternative is $3,070. Problem 1.29 What is arbitrage? Explain the arbitrage opportunity when the price of a dually listed mining company stock is $50 on the New York Stock Exchange and $52 CAD on the Toronto Stock Exchange. Assume that the exchange rate is such that 1 USD equals 1.01 CAD. Explain what is likely to happen to prices as traders take advantage of this opportunity. Arbitrage involves carrying out two or more different trades to lock in a profit. In this case, traders can buy shares on the NYSE and sell them on the TSX to lock in a USD profit of 52/1.01−50=1.485 per share. As they do this the NYSE price will rise and the TSX price will fall so that the arbitrage opportunity disappears Problem 1.30 In March, a US investor instructs a broker to sell one July put option contract on a stock. The stock price is $42 and the strike price is $40. The option price is $3. Explain what the investor has agreed to. Under what circumstances will the trade prove to be profitable? What are the risks?
The investor has agreed to buy 100 shares of the stock for $40 in July (or earlier) if the party on the other side of the transaction chooses to sell. The trade will prove profitable if the option is not exercised or if the stock price is above $37 at the time of exercise. The risk to the investor is that the stock price plunges to a low level. For example, if the stock price drops to $1 by July (unlikely but possible), the investor loses $3,600. This is because the put options are exercised and $40 is paid for 100 shares when the value per share is $1. This leads to a loss of $3,900 which is offset by the premium of $300 received for the options. Problem 1.31 A US company knows it will have to pay 3 million euros in three months. The current exchange rate is 1.4500 dollars per euro. Discuss how forward and options contracts can be used by the company to hedge its exposure. The company could enter into a forward contract obligating it to buy 3 million euros in three months for a fixed price (the forward price). The forward price will be close to but not exactly the same as the current spot price of 1.4500. An alternative would be to buy a call option giving the company the right but not the obligation to buy 3 million euros for a a particular exchange rate (the strike price) in three months. The use of a forward contract locks in, at no cost, the exchange rate that will apply in three months. The use of a call option provides, at a cost, insurance against the exchange rate being higher than the strike price. Problem 1.32 (Excel file) A stock price is $29. An investor buys one call option contract on the stock with a strike price of $30 and sells a call option contract on the stock with a strike price of $32.50. The market prices of the options are $2.75 and $1.50, respectively. The options have the same maturity date. Describe the investor's position. This is known as a bull spread and will be discussed in Chapter 11. The profit is shown in the diagram below
Problem 1.33 The price of gold is currently $1,800 per ounce. Forward contracts are available to buy or sell gold at $2,000 per ounce for delivery in one year. An arbitrageur can borrow money at 5% per annum. What should the arbitrageur do? Assume that the cost of storing gold is zero and that gold provides no income. The arbitrageur should borrow money to buy a certain number of ounces of gold today and short forward contracts on the same number of ounces of gold for delivery in one year. This means that gold is purchased for $1800 per ounce and sold for $2000 per ounce. The cost of the borrowing is $90 per ounce. A riskless profit of $110 per ounce is generated. Problem 1.34. Discuss how foreign currency options can be used for hedging in the situation described in Example 1.1 so that (a) ImportCo is guaranteed that its exchange rate will be less than 1.5800, and (b) ExportCo is guaranteed that its exchange rate will be at least 1.5400. ImportCo can buy call options on $10,000,000 with a strike price of 1.5800. This will ensure that it never pays more than $15,800,000 for the sterling it requires. ExportCo can buy put options on $30,000,000 with a strike price of 1.5400. This will ensure that the price received for the sterling will be above Problem 1.35. The current price of a stock is $94, and three-month call options with a strike price of $95 currently sell for $4.70. An investor who feels that the price of the stock will increase is trying to decide between buying 100 shares and buying 2,000 call options (20 contracts). Both strategies involve an investment of $9,400. What advice would you give? How high does the stock price have to rise for the option strategy to be more profitable? The investment in call options entails higher risks but can lead to higher returns. If the stock price stays at $94, an investor who buys call options loses $9,400 whereas an investor who buys shares neither gains nor loses anything. If the stock price rises to $120, the investor who buys call options gains × An investor who buys shares gains The strategies are equally profitable if the stock price rises to a level, S , where or The option strategy is therefore more profitable if the stock price rises above $100. Problem 1.36. On June 25, 2012, an investor owns 100 Google shares. As indicated in Table 1.3, the bid share price is $561.32 and a December put option with a strike price $520 costs $26.10. The 2000 (120 95) 9400 95) 9400 $ 40 600 100 (120 94) × − ,000,30 000 ,46$ 00,200 $ 2 600 , 2000( S 100 ( × S 54.1 × S = 100 = − 94) = , − − − − . = =
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